Private beta · onboarding early birds & partners

Frontier intelligence for supply chain and procurement

Agentic decisioning for supply chain and procurement — sourcing, inventory, spend, risk, compliance, all executed autonomously.

Probability AI platform overview

Designed to run on top of the systems you already trust

  • SAP
  • Oracle Fusion
  • Microsoft Dynamics 365
  • Coupa
  • Workday
  • Odoo
  • Snowflake
  • Databricks
  • Kinaxis
  • Blue Yonder
  • Tealbook
  • QuickBooks
  • ERPNext
  • Power BI
  • o9 Solutions

The problem

Supply chain teams miss the signals that sit between systems

By the time a disruption shows in a report, the margin is gone. Procurement is stuck reconciling spreadsheets, ERP exports, and vendor portals while the clock ticks.

48h
Average delay between a disruption signal and first action
60%+
Of critical supply decisions made without factoring in all gaps
11%
Average annual spend leakage from unidentified risks
7+
Disconnected tools teams must switch between to make decisions

The platform

One decision layer across the whole chain

Eight capabilities sharing the same operational system — so the risk, cost, and execution never fall out of sync.

Autonomous sourcing

Agents qualify alternate suppliers, model scenarios, and prepare negotiations — turning a two-week sourcing cycle into hours.

Supplier performance

Score every supplier on delivery, quality, cost, and risk — so you know who to trust, who to develop, and who to replace before performance slips.

Spend & cost control

Track landed cost, contract variance, and price exposure in real time — so sourcing teams act on margin, not last quarter's invoices.

Featured

Risk intelligence

Continuous monitoring of geopolitical, financial, climate, and logistics signals — mapped to the suppliers, lanes, and POs you depend on.

Featured

Demand forecasting

Probabilistic forecasts with confidence intervals — so you plan for the full range of demand, not a single number that's wrong half the time.

Featured

Inventory optimization

Right-size safety stock across every SKU and site — protecting service levels while releasing working capital trapped in excess inventory.

Featured

Compliance & policy

Screen every supplier, transaction, and shipment against sanctions, trade, and ESG rules — with policy enforced automatically at the point of decision.

Supply Chain Copilot

Ask questions in plain language and get ranked, explainable recommendations — grounded in your live supply chain data, not a generic model

Solutions

Detect. Assess. Decide. Execute.

Works alongside you — always on. Alerts what matters, assesses the alternatives, executes with your approval.

01

Detect

Connect ERP, Microsoft suites, vendor, freight, and market data to surface signals and emerging risk in time.

02

Assess

AI agents assess, model, and forecast competing scenarios — lead time, cost, stock-out, and risk — with confidence.

03

Decide

Agents recommend the next best action, ranked by margin impact and policy fit.

04

Execute

Agents apply the best decision inside your systems with your approval and complete auditability.

Impact

Measured in margin, not dashboards

Representative outcomes from partner & early-bird deployments across manufacturing, CPG, and industrial distribution.

42%
Faster response to supply disruptions
18d
Earlier lead-time risk visibility
$3.4M
Average exposure prevented per year
68%
Faster sourcing cycle time
“Twenty-five years in supply chain — this is the first time real automation has felt possible. Probability AI is a genuinely valuable solution.”
CIO, Global Manufacturing Firm
“What used to take 24–72 hours across procurement, logistics, and customer delivery, now takes half a day — thanks to this agentic decision layer.”
VP, Global CPG Giant

Security & governance

Governed autonomy, not blind automation

Every recommendation and action is scoped, permissioned, and traceable. Your data stays yours — with the security foundations in place from day one.

SSO / SAML GDPR ready Audit logs

Policy guardrails

Actions respect procurement policy, contract terms, and approval thresholds by default.

Human-in-the-loop

Approve, override, or tune any decision — with visibility into what the system is doing and why.

Data lineage

Trace every model output to its source systems and events for audit readiness.

Your data, untouched

No training on your operational data. Data stays in the EU, and you can have it deleted on request.

See why supply chain firms use Probability AI

Join the private beta and see what it uncovers.

Book a demo