Respond in hours, not weeks
Disruption, delay, and stock-out signals surface the moment they appear, with a ranked next action ready to review.
Private beta · onboarding early birds & partners
Built for the teams that decide the chain
Probability AI turns supply chain and procurement signals into governed decisions — detected, modelled, and executed inside the systems your teams already run.
Designed to run on top of the systems you already trust
Coupa
ERPNext
Power BI
What changes
Decisions that move margin, not dashboards
Every team works from the same live context — so risk, cost, and execution never fall out of sync.
Protect margin on every decision
Landed cost, contract variance, and price exposure are scored before a recommendation is made — not after the invoice.
Release capital from the chain
Right-sized safety stock and qualified alternates free working capital without breaking service levels.
Prove every action
Each decision carries its rationale, approval, and audit trail from the first signal to the ERP write-back.
Solutions by function
One decision layer for every team that touches the chain
Procurement, planning, logistics, risk, finance, and the control tower run on the same operational model.
Procurement & sourcing
Qualify alternates, model scenarios, and prepare negotiations in hours rather than weeks.
- Alternate-supplier qualification
- Should-cost and scenario modelling
- Negotiation packs grounded in live spend
Supply chain planning
Plan for the full range of demand and lead time, not a single number.
- Probabilistic demand and lead-time forecasts
- Service-level and safety-stock trade-offs
- Scenario simulation across lanes and sites
Logistics & transportation
Reroute before a delay becomes a line-down or a stock-out.
- Lane and carrier risk monitoring
- Reroute and split-shipment options
- Landed-cost comparison per option
Risk & compliance
Screen every supplier, transaction, and shipment against the rules that apply to you.
- Sanctions, trade, and ESG screening
- Policy enforced at the point of decision
- Evidence retained for audit
Spend & cost control
Act on margin in real time instead of reconciling last quarter's invoices.
- Contract and price-variance detection
- Real-time landed-cost tracking
- Savings and leakage reporting
Executive & control tower
One view from signal to execution, without chasing status across teams.
- Exposure and decision queues
- Policy and approval thresholds
- Outcomes measured in margin
In practice
How teams use Probability AI
A closed loop that runs continuously — detect, model, decide, execute — with a human in the loop where it matters.
Disruption response
From signal to rerouted PO in one loop
When a lane, supplier, or port signal moves, the platform models the impact on open orders and prepares the reroute — priced, policy-checked, and ready for approval.
- Impact modelled across lead time, cost, and stock-out
- Alternate suppliers and lanes qualified automatically
- Approved action written back to the ERP with an audit trail
Autonomous sourcing
Two-week sourcing cycles, compressed into hours
Agents gather requirements, qualify candidates, and assemble a negotiation brief grounded in your spend, contracts, and supplier performance.
- Candidate suppliers scored on delivery, quality, and risk
- Scenario-based landed-cost comparison
- Negotiation brief drafted for your team to review
Cost & margin protection
Everything priced before it is recommended
Cost variance, FX, and freight are folded into every recommendation, so teams act on margin rather than on a headline unit price.
- Landed cost and contract variance tracked live
- Price exposure flagged against budget and forecast
- Recommendations ranked by margin impact
Governed execution
Autonomy inside your policy, not around it
Approval thresholds, contract terms, and compliance rules are applied before an action executes — and every decision stays traceable to its inputs.
- Policy guardrails applied before execution
- Human approval gates you define per action type
- Full data lineage from signal to write-back
Impact
Measured in margin, not dashboards.
Representative outcomes from partner & early-bird deployments across manufacturing, CPG, and industrial distribution.
42%
Faster response to supply disruptions
18d
Earlier lead-time risk visibility
$3.4M
Average exposure prevented per year
68%
Faster sourcing cycle time
“We stopped discovering disruptions in the monthly report. Probability AI flagged a tier-2 supplier issue eleven days before it hit our line — and had two vetted alternatives ready.”
Security & governance
Governed autonomy, not blind automation
Every recommendation and action is scoped, permissioned, and traceable. Your data stays yours — with the security foundations in place from day one.
Policy guardrails
Actions respect procurement policy, contract terms, and approval thresholds by default.
Human-in-the-loop
Approve, override, or tune any decision — with visibility into what the system is doing and why.
Data lineage
Trace every model output to its source systems and events for audit readiness.
Your data, untouched
No training on your operational data. Data stays in the EU, and you can have it deleted on request.
EU-hosted
Data is processed and stored in the European Union.
No training on your data
Your operational data is never used to train our models.
Deploy your way
Sovereign cloud, private cloud, or on-premises.
SSO / SAML
GDPR ready
Audit logs